Issued at 1500 UTC THU SEP 07 2023
000 WTPZ21 KNHC 071451 TCMEP1 HURRICANE JOVA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112023 1500 UTC THU SEP 07 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 115.7W AT 07/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 932 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 135 KT WITH GUSTS TO 165 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 20SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 90SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..360NE 390SE 150SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 115.7W AT 07/1500Z AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 115.0W FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 18.0N 117.7W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 19.3N 120.4W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 20.5N 123.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 21.8N 125.2W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 10NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT...110NE 100SE 70SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 23.1N 127.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 10NW. 34 KT... 90NE 80SE 50SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 24.2N 128.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 20SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 25.4N 130.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 25.3N 133.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.1N 115.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z $$ FORECASTER KELLY/CAMPOSANO
