Tropical Depression Nineteen-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 4

NOAA - Tropical Weather Updates

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Issued at 1500 UTC SUN OCT 29 2023

427 
FOPZ14 KNHC 291449
PWSEP4
                                                                    
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP192023               
1500 UTC SUN OCT 29 2023                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN-E WAS LOCATED   
NEAR LATITUDE 11.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM         
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.                     
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
10N 95W        34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)   2( 6)   7(13)
 
P SAN JOSE     34  X   2( 2)   7( 9)   9(18)   7(25)   1(26)   X(26)
P SAN JOSE     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
10N 90W        34  X   2( 2)   8(10)   7(17)   9(26)   5(31)   1(32)
10N 90W        50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 
SAN SALVADOR   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   6(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
PUERTO CUTUCO  34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   5( 7)   9(16)   X(16)   X(16)
 
AMAPALA        34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   4( 6)   9(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 
CHOLUTECA      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BLAKE                                                    

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