Issued at 1500 UTC MON AUG 28 2023
000 WTPZ25 KNHC 281444 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM IRWIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102023 1500 UTC MON AUG 28 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 123.6W AT 28/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT.......220NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 30SE 0SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 123.6W AT 28/1500Z AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 123.1W FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 18.5N 125.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...200NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 18.7N 127.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 18.6N 130.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 18.6N 133.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 18.7N 135.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 18.8N 137.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 19.1N 139.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 19.0N 142.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N 123.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BUCCI
