Tropical Storm Norma Forecast Advisory Number 1

NOAA - Tropical Weather Updates

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Issued at 2100 UTC TUE OCT 17 2023

000
WTPZ22 KNHC 172016
TCMEP2
 
TROPICAL STORM NORMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172023
2100 UTC TUE OCT 17 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 107.3W AT 17/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......120NE   0SE   0SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE   0SE   0SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 107.3W AT 17/2100Z
AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 107.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 13.8N 108.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE  50SE  30SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 15.0N 108.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT...130NE  90SE  60SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 16.0N 108.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE 110SE  70SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 16.9N 108.8W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE 110SE  80SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 17.8N 109.1W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE  80SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 18.7N 109.6W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE  80SW 130NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 20.9N 110.3W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 22.5N 110.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.2N 107.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KELLY
 
 

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