Tropical Storm Pilar Wind Speed Probabilities Number 12

NOAA - Tropical Weather Updates

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Issued at 1500 UTC TUE OCT 31 2023

000
FOPZ14 KNHC 311444
PWSEP4
                                                                    
TROPICAL STORM PILAR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  12            
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP192023               
1500 UTC TUE OCT 31 2023                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PILAR WAS LOCATED NEAR        
LATITUDE 11.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
10N 105W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)  11(21)
10N 105W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
10N 100W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  12(12)  14(26)   X(26)
10N 100W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)
 
10N 95W        34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)  20(26)   X(26)   X(26)
10N 95W        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
10N 95W        64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
P SAN JOSE     34  1   3( 4)   3( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
10N 90W        34  3   4( 7)   3(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
PUERTO CUTUCO  34  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
AMAPALA        34  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
CLIPPERTON IS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  12(12)
 
10N 110W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BROWN                                                    

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