Tropical Storm Pilar Wind Speed Probabilities Number 24

NOAA - Tropical Weather Updates

Share This Post

Share on facebook
Share on linkedin
Share on twitter
Share on email

Issued at 1500 UTC FRI NOV 03 2023

631 
FOPZ14 KNHC 031446
PWSEP4
                                                                    
TROPICAL STORM PILAR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  24            
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP192023               
1500 UTC FRI NOV 03 2023                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PILAR WAS LOCATED NEAR        
LATITUDE 10.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 103.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
10N 105W       34 91   1(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)
10N 105W       50 16   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)
10N 105W       64  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
CLIPPERTON IS  34  X  37(37)  21(58)   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)
CLIPPERTON IS  50  X   5( 5)   9(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
CLIPPERTON IS  64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
10N 110W       34  X  14(14)  46(60)   X(60)   X(60)   X(60)   X(60)
10N 110W       50  X   1( 1)  16(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)
10N 110W       64  X   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
10N 115W       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)  11(12)  14(26)   X(26)   X(26)
10N 115W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
10N 115W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
15N 115W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)
 
15N 120W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   4( 8)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER KELLY                                                    

Are you starting an INDEPENDENT agency?

Get Your Agency StartUp Checklist Today

More News

The Essential IT Consultants Insurance Guide

IT professionals help set up computer systems, monitor digital security, and improve functionalities for a wide variety of clients. They’re also often called when there’s