Issued at 1500 UTC TUE SEP 02 2025
000
FOPZ12 KNHC 021458
PWSEP2
TROPICAL STORM LORENA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122025
ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
1500 UTC TUE SEP 02 2025
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LORENA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
PUNTA EUGENIA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) X( 8)
P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 12(16) 6(22) 1(23)
P ABREOJOS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 2( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10)
SAN JOSE CABO 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
LA PAZ 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) 3(10) 1(11) X(11)
LORETO 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 5(10) 2(12) 1(13)
BAHIA KINO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 3( 8)
GUAYMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 2( 7)
20N 110W 34 15 72(87) 1(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88)
20N 110W 50 2 43(45) 1(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46)
20N 110W 64 X 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
ISLA SOCORRO 34 X 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
ISLA CLARION 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
20N 115W 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
25N 115W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 15(18) 23(41) 2(43) X(43)
25N 115W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) X(12) X(12)
25N 115W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
$$
FORECASTER GALLINA
