Hurricane Narda Forecast Advisory Number 8

NOAA - Tropical Weather Updates

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Issued at 1500 UTC TUE SEP 23 2025

000
WTPZ24 KNHC 231437
TCMEP4
 
HURRICANE NARDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142025
1500 UTC TUE SEP 23 2025
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 107.3W AT 23/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  981 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
4 M SEAS.... 75NE  45SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 107.3W AT 23/1500Z
AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 106.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 15.6N 108.9W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 35NE  30SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 15.5N 111.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  35SE  35SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 15.5N 113.4W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  35SE  35SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  70SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 15.7N 115.7W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  35SE  35SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 16.1N 118.1W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  45NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 100SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 16.8N 120.3W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  45NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 100SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 18.4N 123.1W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  45NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  90SW 110NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 20.3N 123.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW  80NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.8N 107.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

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