Tropical Storm Octave Forecast Advisory Number 10

Issued at 1500 UTC THU OCT 02 2025

000
WTPZ25 KNHC 021437
TCMEP5
 
TROPICAL STORM OCTAVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152025
1500 UTC THU OCT 02 2025
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 118.5W AT 02/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
34 KT....... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
4 M SEAS.... 90NE  75SE  45SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 118.5W AT 02/1500Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 118.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 12.8N 119.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 13.3N 120.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 13.8N 121.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 14.4N 123.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 15.0N 123.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 15.3N 124.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 15.9N 122.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 16.0N 120.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.5N 118.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH