Issued at 1500 UTC WED JUN 18 2025
000
FOPZ15 KNHC 181442
PWSEP5
HURRICANE ERICK WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052025
1500 UTC WED JUN 18 2025
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ERICK WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
13.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
L CARDENAS 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
ZIHUATANEJO 34 X 2( 2) 6( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
15N 100W 34 X 7( 7) 5(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
ACAPULCO 34 X 10(10) 47(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) X(57)
ACAPULCO 50 X 1( 1) 18(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
ACAPULCO 64 X X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
P MALDONADO 34 X 74(74) 16(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90)
P MALDONADO 50 X 35(35) 31(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66)
P MALDONADO 64 X 13(13) 26(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39)
P ANGEL 34 20 41(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61)
P ANGEL 50 X 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
P ANGEL 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
HUATULCO 34 4 12(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
15N 95W 34 2 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
$$
FORECASTER HAGEN
