Hurricane Narda Forecast Advisory Number 12

NOAA - Tropical Weather Updates

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Issued at 1500 UTC WED SEP 24 2025

000
WTPZ24 KNHC 241450
TCMEP4
 
HURRICANE NARDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142025
1500 UTC WED SEP 24 2025
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 111.7W AT 24/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  972 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  40SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  80SE  90SW 100NW.
4 M SEAS....105NE 105SE  75SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 111.7W AT 24/1500Z
AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 111.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 15.1N 113.4W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 35NE  40SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  90SE  90SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 15.4N 115.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 110SE 110SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 15.8N 118.3W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 130SE 120SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 16.2N 120.8W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 130SE 120SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 17.0N 122.9W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 130SE 110SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 17.7N 124.2W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 19.7N 124.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 100SE  90SW  80NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 21.8N 123.8W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.1N 111.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER HAGEN

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