Hurricane Narda Forecast Advisory Number 16

NOAA - Tropical Weather Updates

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Issued at 1500 UTC THU SEP 25 2025

957 
WTPZ24 KNHC 251439
TCMEP4
 
HURRICANE NARDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142025
1500 UTC THU SEP 25 2025
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 116.6W AT 25/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  40SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......120NE 130SE 100SW  80NW.
4 M SEAS....240NE 210SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 116.6W AT 25/1500Z
AT 25/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 115.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 16.3N 118.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 130SE 100SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 16.8N 121.3W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 140SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 17.3N 123.7W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 130SE  90SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 18.0N 125.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  90SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 18.9N 126.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 19.9N 127.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 22.0N 126.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 23.3N 125.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N 116.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS

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