Hurricane Priscilla Forecast Advisory Number 8

Issued at 1500 UTC MON OCT 06 2025

000
WTPZ21 KNHC 061447
TCMEP1
 
HURRICANE PRISCILLA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162025
1500 UTC MON OCT 06 2025
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 107.4W AT 06/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  973 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT.......  0NE  45SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  60SE  60SW   0NW.
34 KT.......180NE 140SE 130SW 150NW.
4 M SEAS....240NE 360SE 240SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 107.4W AT 06/1500Z
AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 107.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 18.3N 108.3W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  40SE  15SW   0NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  30NW.
34 KT...180NE 140SE 130SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 19.3N 109.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  40SE  20SW  15NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  40NW.
34 KT...170NE 130SE 120SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 20.2N 110.9W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  45SE  30SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 110SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 21.2N 112.3W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  45SE  35SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 110SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 22.3N 113.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  35SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 23.4N 114.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  90SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 25.7N 115.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 27.5N 115.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N 107.4W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPEP1...AT 06/1800Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER HAGEN