Hurricane Priscilla Wind Speed Probabilities Number 12

NOAA - Tropical Weather Updates

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Issued at 1500 UTC TUE OCT 07 2025

000
FOPZ11 KNHC 071446
PWSEP1
                                                                    
HURRICANE PRISCILLA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  12             
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162025               
1500 UTC TUE OCT 07 2025                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE PRISCILLA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
19.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
95 KTS...110 MPH...175 KM/H.                                        
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
PUNTA EUGENIA  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)  10(15)   2(17)   X(17)
 
P ABREOJOS     34  X   1( 1)   4( 5)   5(10)   9(19)   1(20)   X(20)
 
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 19  11(30)   4(34)   1(35)   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)
 
SAN JOSE CABO  34 11   9(20)   3(23)   X(23)   1(24)   X(24)   X(24)
 
LA PAZ         34  4   7(11)   5(16)   1(17)   1(18)   X(18)   X(18)
 
LORETO         34  X   3( 3)   4( 7)   2( 9)   2(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
BAHIA KINO     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
ISLAS MARIAS   34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
20N 110W       34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
20N 110W       50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
20N 110W       64 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
ISLA SOCORRO   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
ISLA SOCORRO   50  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
ISLA CLARION   34  3   3( 6)   3( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
20N 115W       34  4   8(12)   7(19)   1(20)   1(21)   X(21)   X(21)
 
25N 115W       34  X   5( 5)  14(19)  29(48)  15(63)   X(63)   X(63)
25N 115W       50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)  13(21)   X(21)   X(21)
25N 115W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
25N 120W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER HAGEN

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