Tropical Depression Three-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 1

NOAA - Tropical Weather Updates

Share This Post

Share on facebook
Share on linkedin
Share on twitter
Share on email

Issued at 2100 UTC SAT JUN 12 2021

000
FOPZ13 KNHC 122045
PWSEP3
                                                                    
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1     
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032021               
2100 UTC SAT JUN 12 2021                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-E WAS LOCATED NEAR 
LATITUDE 11.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 123.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
10N 125W       34  1   4( 5)   7(12)   9(21)   8(29)   2(31)   1(32)
10N 125W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)
10N 125W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
15N 125W       34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   3( 8)   4(12)
 
10N 130W       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   5( 8)   2(10)   X(10)
 
15N 130W       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)
 
$                                                                  
FORECASTER LATTO                                                    

Are you starting an INDEPENDENT agency?

Get Your Agency StartUp Checklist Today

More News

NOAA - Tropical Weather Updates
Tropical Weather Updates

Tropical Storm Lidia Graphics

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 03 Oct 2023 14:51:13 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 03 Oct 2023 15:29:42 GMT

NOAA - Tropical Weather Updates
Tropical Weather Updates

Tropical Storm Lidia Forecast Discussion Number 2

Issued at 900 AM MDT Tue Oct 03 2023 932 WTPZ45 KNHC 031450 TCDEP5 Tropical Storm Lidia Discussion Number 2 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami