Tropical Storm Narda Forecast Discussion Number 28

NOAA - Tropical Weather Updates

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Issued at 800 AM PDT Sun Sep 28 2025

470 
WTPZ44 KNHC 281437
TCDEP4
 
Tropical Storm Narda Discussion Number  28
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP142025
800 AM PDT Sun Sep 28 2025
 
Convection associated with Narda continues to diminish in coverage 
and organization this morning. Subjective and objective satellite 
intensity estimates are decreasing, and the initial intensity is 
lowered to 45 kt for this advisory. This is in good agreement 
with the latest UW-CIMSS objective estimates and consistent with 
the overnight scatterometer data.
 
Continued weakening is expected as Narda remains over cooler waters 
within a drier, stable environment. This forecast indicates that 
Narda could become post-tropical later today or early Monday. The 
storm is moving northward at about 5 kt. A slow northward or 
north-northeastward motion is expected for the next day or two, 
followed by a northwestward turn as the remnant low becomes steered 
by the low-level flow. The remnant low is forecast to degenerate to 
a surface trough later this week. No notable changes were made to 
the NHC track or intensity forecasts.
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  28/1500Z 19.7N 125.5W   45 KT  50 MPH
 12H  29/0000Z 20.4N 125.2W   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
 24H  29/1200Z 21.2N 124.9W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  30/0000Z 21.6N 124.6W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  30/1200Z 22.0N 124.7W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 60H  01/0000Z 22.4N 125.1W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 72H  01/1200Z 23.1N 126.0W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 96H  02/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster Reinhart

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