Issued at 800 AM PDT Sun Sep 28 2025
470 WTPZ44 KNHC 281437 TCDEP4 Tropical Storm Narda Discussion Number 28 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP142025 800 AM PDT Sun Sep 28 2025 Convection associated with Narda continues to diminish in coverage and organization this morning. Subjective and objective satellite intensity estimates are decreasing, and the initial intensity is lowered to 45 kt for this advisory. This is in good agreement with the latest UW-CIMSS objective estimates and consistent with the overnight scatterometer data. Continued weakening is expected as Narda remains over cooler waters within a drier, stable environment. This forecast indicates that Narda could become post-tropical later today or early Monday. The storm is moving northward at about 5 kt. A slow northward or north-northeastward motion is expected for the next day or two, followed by a northwestward turn as the remnant low becomes steered by the low-level flow. The remnant low is forecast to degenerate to a surface trough later this week. No notable changes were made to the NHC track or intensity forecasts. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 28/1500Z 19.7N 125.5W 45 KT 50 MPH 12H 29/0000Z 20.4N 125.2W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 24H 29/1200Z 21.2N 124.9W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 30/0000Z 21.6N 124.6W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 30/1200Z 22.0N 124.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 01/0000Z 22.4N 125.1W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 01/1200Z 23.1N 126.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 02/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Reinhart