Tropical Storm Octave Forecast Advisory Number 14

NOAA - Tropical Weather Updates

Share This Post

Share on facebook
Share on linkedin
Share on twitter
Share on email

Issued at 1500 UTC FRI OCT 03 2025

000
WTPZ25 KNHC 031433
TCMEP5
 
TROPICAL STORM OCTAVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152025
1500 UTC FRI OCT 03 2025
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 121.0W AT 03/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  40SE   0SW  60NW.
4 M SEAS.... 90NE  90SE  45SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 121.0W AT 03/1500Z
AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 120.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 13.8N 122.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 14.4N 123.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  20SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 15.0N 123.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  20SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 15.4N 124.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 15.6N 123.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 15.7N 123.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 15.4N 121.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 15.0N 119.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.4N 121.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER D. ZELINSKY

Are you starting an INDEPENDENT agency?

Get Your Agency StartUp Checklist Today

More News

NOAA - Tropical Weather Updates
Tropical Weather Updates

Tropical Storm Octave Forecast Discussion Number 18

Issued at 800 AM PDT Sat Oct 04 2025 000 WTPZ45 KNHC 041444 TCDEP5 Tropical Storm Octave Discussion Number 18 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami