Issued at 1500 UTC SAT OCT 04 2025
000 WTPZ25 KNHC 041442 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM OCTAVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152025 1500 UTC SAT OCT 04 2025 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 123.6W AT 04/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW. 4 M SEAS.... 90NE 75SE 75SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 123.6W AT 04/1500Z AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 123.5W FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 15.0N 124.1W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 0NW. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 20SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 15.5N 124.1W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 10SW 10NW. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 15.9N 123.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 10NE 20SE 10SW 10NW. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 16.0N 122.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 16.0N 121.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 15.7N 120.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 15.2N 118.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 16.2N 114.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.6N 123.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z $$ FORECASTER HOGSETT
