Tropical Storm Octave Forecast Advisory Number 6

NOAA - Tropical Weather Updates

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Issued at 1500 UTC WED OCT 01 2025

000
WTPZ25 KNHC 011451
TCMEP5
 
TROPICAL STORM OCTAVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152025
1500 UTC WED OCT 01 2025
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 115.7W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 50NE  50SE  50SW  40NW.
4 M SEAS.... 75NE  45SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 115.7W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 115.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 12.1N 116.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 12.6N 117.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 13.1N 118.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 13.7N 120.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 14.2N 121.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 14.9N 122.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 15.9N 123.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  25SE  25SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 16.5N 123.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.6N 115.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH

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