Issued at 1500 UTC WED OCT 01 2025
000 WTPZ25 KNHC 011451 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM OCTAVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152025 1500 UTC WED OCT 01 2025 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 115.7W AT 01/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 40NW. 4 M SEAS.... 75NE 45SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 115.7W AT 01/1500Z AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 115.4W FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 12.1N 116.3W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 12.6N 117.3W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 13.1N 118.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 13.7N 120.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 14.2N 121.1W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 14.9N 122.6W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 15.9N 123.6W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 25SE 25SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW. OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 16.5N 123.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.6N 115.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH