Issued at 1500 UTC WED OCT 01 2025
000
FOPZ15 KNHC 011451
PWSEP5
TROPICAL STORM OCTAVE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152025
1500 UTC WED OCT 01 2025
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OCTAVE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 11.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 115.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
10N 115W 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
15N 115W 34 1 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 1( 6)
10N 120W 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8)
15N 120W 34 X 2( 2) 5( 7) 36(43) 14(57) 2(59) 1(60)
15N 120W 50 X X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 8(17) X(17) X(17)
15N 120W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
20N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8)
15N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 17(30) 4(34)
15N 125W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8)
15N 125W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
20N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 3( 9)
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
